Sunday, May 2, 2010

Update... Things Are Looking Ok With "NO Warned Cells" At This Time!!

0> Ok you can see in this radar image about taken at 1:20am that this line is getting closer. However I do have some good news! The National weather service has not felt the need to issue any severe thunderstorm warnings with any of these storms to our southwest at this time! This is a good sign for us! Also I have been watching the current data like crazy and we are currently sitting steady with the Lifted Index. AT this time it has not fallen any lower then -0.7. Also some good news is our current EHI values are only at 0.11 which is good, Usually for storms to support strong / severe thunderstorms the EHI needs to be around 1.0 to 2.0 and closer to 3.0 and 4.0 to support the development of tornadoes! But this goes together with things like CAPE and Helicity for the location of the possible development. Which our current CAPE stands at around 1,500J/kg which is not bad. Also Helicity is only around 111 which usually needs to be around 400 and 500 to give the spin needed to support tornadoes. Which is why I went with the netter change for tornadoes to stay to our south west in my earlier post

So for now things are looking ok. But we are not by any means out of the woods yet! The storms haven't even started yet. We will still have scattered to moderate thunderstorms across the area. But this is good news that we have yet to see any warned cells!! Also by watching the radars closely things seem to be steady / weakening as they move closer to the WLFI viewing area.. Stay tuned bloggers. And I'll check back as needed.....


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