Tuesday, December 22, 2009

Could It Be Our Forth Green Christmas In A Row?

We are watching another Alberta clipper moving into the area this morning. Not looking for much in the way of snowfall amounts maybe another half inch or less. This is becoming the pattern we are use to here in Indiana lately. No big snows just lots of light Alberta clippers. Remember to keep safe on the roads as I have said many times this past week. As we head into Wednesday we will see a mixture of precipitation. Yes, a little bit of rain and snow. Also we will see winds starting to pick up for the holidays. Wednesday night we will see winds picking up between 10 and 20 mph with gusts to 25 mph and slightly higher as we head into Christmas Eve and Christmas...
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Now the Christmas forecast. Ugh let's just say I'm getting use to no snow in Indiana by now! :( It is looking like we will see this system really trying to take shape on Wednesday / Tomorrow. Then we will see nothing but rain on Christmas Eve. We could pick up around a half inch of rain on Christmas Eve. We won't change over to some snow until Christmas Day. Let me break this down for you all below.Oak what your looking at above is the current weather model for December 25th. This is Christmas morning around 6:00am EST. You can see where all the snow will be. The low pressure system needs to move down a little to the south for us to have a better chance at snow. If the 540 line which is the first red line in IL, would move south of us then all the precipitation you see above would fall in the form of snow here in Indiana, And we could be looking at around 3" to 5" inches of snow! However that's not the case as usual... Now I'm going to add a little to this same map above to help show you all what we are missing out on and what we will most likely see for Christmas. Snow lovers please don't hate me! I want snow just as bad as you. Maybe MORE! ;)You can see that same snow band I showed you all in the first map will give way to around 7" to 10" inches or more to our north and west. Lafayette, on the other hand will start out with rain on Christmas Eve, followed by the mixture you see above. Then after most of the storms energy is passed us we will then see the BIG cool down move into our area allowing snow in the WLFI viewing area on the back side. The 7" to 10" inch areas you see above will also have VERY windy weather to go along with it! We could be talking blizzard conditions! UUUUUGGGGHHHHHHH I hate forecasting us missing out on snow! (This Is Torture) I really PRAY this changes and gives us more snowfall! :(
We will see some gusty winds as well around Christmas Eve, and Christmas, with gusts to near 40 mph possible.

So this means we will start out with rain on Christmas Eve. By the night of Christmas Eve, into Christmas, morning we will see the rain start to change over to a mixture and then all snow for Christmas. Now how much snow will we see on the ground? Well, at this time it's not looking like much at all. We may as well just have another Alberta clipper move through. Maybe an inch if were lucky! We need at least an inch for it to be called a white Christmas...

Now this is one forecast I PRAY I'M WRONG ON!! For now all we can do is two things! Keep watching this system closely as it can still change! (IF) our temperatures cool down sooner then what models show then we still have a chance!

And the other thing to do is continue on Wishing, Hoping, And praying!

Chance for a white Christmas is around 35% at this time.......... This would be the forth year in a row without snow on Christmas. I'm starting to get use to it I guess. It seems every year we get less and less snowfall. We need another La-Nina jet stream if we want another good snow!

Don't give up hope! I will continue to search for snow until Christmas comes! It's not over til the First Flake Flies!!! ;)

I'll check back again soon..........

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Hi Justin, just a quick note to let you know it's really doing a nice job of snowing here in monticello... the route was actually nice due to the snow coming down .. Becky